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You Stocked Out at Christmas — Forecast Better Next Time

3 min read · Tags: forecasting, inventory

The problem

Q4 sold 3x what Q3 did. You weren't prepared. Stockouts cost you Buy Box and SEO ranking on Amazon.

Our solution

We build a 12-month rolling forecast pegged to seasonality, ad spend, and reorder lead times — and reorder before the gap forms.

The problem

Q4 sold 3x what Q3 did. You weren't prepared. Stockouts cost you Buy Box and SEO ranking on Amazon.

Our solution

We build a 12-month rolling forecast pegged to seasonality, ad spend, and reorder lead times — and reorder before the gap forms.

The three-input forecast

Historical sales, planned ad spend, and lead time. Multiply, add safety stock, place PO.

Safety stock formula

Daily demand x lead time x service level Z-score. We do the math; you sleep at night.

Stockouts hurt twice

Lost sales today, lost ranking tomorrow. Restock costs are higher than excess inventory costs.

Who we are

Founded by Europeans living in the US, 123OutSourced operates as your boots-on-the-ground team — serving brands and sellers anywhere in the world with operations executed inside the United States. That mix — European discipline, US execution — is exactly what foreign brands need to win in the United States.

Next step

If this is hitting close to home, book a 15-minute intro call. We'll scope the work and show you exactly how we'd take this off your plate.

Want this off your plate?

We're a US-based ops team founded by European founders. We run customer service, Amazon, Shopify, fulfillment, and back-office for foreign brands selling in the US.